EFFECT OF INITIAL PERTURBATION OF LAND SURFACE PROCESSES ON TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST

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摘要 Manystudieshaveexploredtheimportanceandinfluenceofplanetaryboundarylayerprocessesontropicalcyclones(TCs).However,fewstudieshavefocusedontheinfluenceoflandsurfaceprocessesontheactivityofTCs.TotesttheeffectofinitialperturbationsoflandsurfaceprocessesonTCs,alandsurfaceprocessperturbationmoduleisbuiltinaglobalensemblepredictionsystem.EnsembleexperimentsfortheTCsthatoccurredfrom12UTC22Augustto18UTC24November,2006showthatconsiderationoftheuncertaintieswithinthelandsurfaceprocesscouldincreasethepredictabilityoftheglobalensemblepredictionsystem.DetailedanalysisonTCXangsane(2006)indicatesthattheperturbationoflandsurfaceprocessesmayincreasethevariationofsensibleheatfluxandlatentheatflux.Meanwhile,theeffectfromlandsurfaceperturbationcanbetransferredtotheupperatmosphere,whichleadstobetterTCforecasts.
机构地区 不详
出版日期 2012年04月14日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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