简介:BasedontheCMAtropicalcyclone(TC)besttrackdataaswellasthereanalysisdatasetsfromtheNCEP/NCARandNOAA,thevariationcharacteristicsofTCnumberfrom1949to2013overthewesternNorthPacific(includingtheSouthChinaSea)areexamined.Notably,thetimeseriesofTCnumberexhibitsasignificantabruptchangefrommoretolessaround1995.ComparativeanalysisindicatesthattheenvironmentalfactorsnecessarytoTCformationalsochangesignificantlyaroundthemid-1990s.After1995,accompanyingwithanomalouswarmseasurfacetemperature(SST)inwesternequatorialPacific,aLaNia-likepatternintropicalPacificappearsobviously.However,comparedwiththeperiodbefore1995,theverticalupwardmovementdecreases,verticalshearoftroposphericzonalwindincreases,andsealevelpressure(SLP)rises,allofwhichareunfavorabletoTCformationandworktogethertomakeTCnumberreducemarkedlyafter1995.Furthermore,whenthetypicalinterannualmoreandlessTCsyearsareselectedinthetwoseparatestagesbeforeandafter1995,therelativeimportanceofoceanicandatmosphericenvironmentsininterannualTCgenerationisalsoinvestigatedrespectively.TheresultsimplythattheSSToverthetropicalPacificexertsrelativelyimportantinfluenceonTCformationbefore1995whereastheatmosphericcirculationplaysamoreprominentroleinthegenerationofTCafter1995.
简介:Asthestrongestsubseasonalatmosphericvariabilityduringborealwinter,threeremarkablesuddenstratosphericmajorwarming(SSW)eventsinthe2000sareinvestigatedintermsoftheBrewer–Dobsoncirculation(BDC)response.Ourstudyshowsthatthechangesofcross-isentropicvelocityduringtheSSWsarenotonlyconfinedtothepolarregion,butalsoextendtothewholeNorthernHemisphere:enhanceddescentinthepolarregion,aswellasenhancedascentinthetropics.WhentheaccelerationofthedeepbranchoftheBDCdescendstothemiddlestratosphere,itsstrengthrapidlydecreasesoveraperiodofonetotwoweeks.TheaccelerationofthedeepbranchoftheBDCisdrivenbytheenhancedplanetarywaveactivityinthemid-to-high-latitudestratosphere.DifferentfromtherapidresponseofthedeepbranchoftheBDC,tropicalupwellinginthelowerstratosphereacceleratesupto20%–40%comparedwiththeclimatology,20–30daysaftertheonsetoftheSSWs,andtheaccelerationlastsforonetothreemonths.Theenhancementoftropicalupwellingisassociatedwiththelarge-scalewave-breakinginthesubtropicsinteractingwiththemidlatitudeandtropicalQuasi-BiennialOscillation–relatedmeanflow.
简介:TheprojectionofChina'snear-andlong-termfutureclimateisrevisitedwithanew-generationstatisticallydownscaleddataset,NEX-GDDP(NASAEarthExchangeGlobalDailyDownscaledProjections).Thisdatasetpresentsahigh-resolutionseamlessclimateprojectionfrom1950to2100bycombiningobservationsandGCMresults,andremarkablyimprovesCMIP5hindcastsandprojectionsfromlargescaletoregional-to-localscaleswithanunchangedlong-termtrend.Threeaspectsaresignificantlyimproved:(1)theclimatologyinthepastascomparedagainsttheobservations;(2)morereliablenear-andlong-termprojections,withamodifiedrangeofabsolutevalueandreducedinter-modelspreadascomparedtoCMIP5GCMs;and(3)muchaddedvalueatregional-to-localscalescomparedtoGCMoutputs.NEX-GDDPhasgreatpotentialtobecomeawidely-usedhigh-resolutiondatasetandabenchmarkofmodernclimatechangefordiverseearthsciencecommunities.