简介：Amethodofestimationofoccurrenceprobabilityofearthquakeintensityatagivensitefromtheresultsofaten-yearscaleofearthquakepredictiondescribedwithaprobabilityofoccurrenceinagiven"predictioncell"isproposedinthispaper.2316citiesandtownsinChinawereanalyzedbyusingthismethod.TheprobabilityofintensityⅥ-Ⅸweregivenforeverycity.Theseresultscanbeusedfortheearthquakeinsurance,lossestimation,andplanningofdisasterprotection.
简介：Theprobabilityofearthquakeoccurrenceintheforthcoming50yearsintheareaconfinedbyLinfen,Taiyuan,andDaixianbasins,ShanxiProvinceiscomputedbyusingadualPoissonmodelandthefutureseismicriskisalsocomputedbyusingaprobabilitydistributionintegratedwiththeattenuationlaw.
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