A Study of Wind Statistics Through Auto-Regressive and Moving-Average (ARMA) Modeling

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2001-01-11
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StatisticalpropertiesofwindsneartheTaichungHarbourareinvestigated.The26years′incompletedataofwindspeeds,measuredonanhourlybasis,areusedasreference.ThepossibilityofimputationusingsimulatedresultsoftheAuto-Regressive(AR),Moving-Average(MA),and/orAuto-RegressiveandMoving-Average(ARMA)modelsisstudied.Predictionsofthe25-yearextremewindspeedsbasedupontheaugmenteddataarecomparedwiththeoriginalseries.Basedupontheresults,predictionsofthe50-and100-yearextremewindspeedsarethenmade.